This is collection of charts and thoughts about markets, trading, investing and speculation (forex, stocks, bonds etc.). This includes world-wide market data, but also stats and trends for social, people, health, religion and other subjects - anything that I find relevant to better understand geo-politics and geo-economy.
I drop here current, fresh data as well as view on historical things. The frequency of updates is irregular (from daily to monthly).
It's mostly charts, with not much comments.
It's updated ever few days, sometimes weeks.
New stuff - 2019
S&P 500 Valuations from 1871 to 2019 (Cape 10), with Secular Bear and Secular Bull markets:
History of S&P bear markets:
S&P 500 Earnings Growth Rate Q4 2019:
S&P Rolling 20-year rolling real total return:
The source of the stock market rally is buybacks:
CEO Confidence Survey:
For The First Time In 6 Years, No Central Bank Is Hiking:
S&P technicalsNegative cash balances (margin debt reported by FINRA):
S&P Accelerated Trend [2019-10-16]:
S&P 2018-2019 technicals:
S&P 500 Trend Line Support 2007-2019:
S&P 500 Corporate Profits vs S&P Price, with some context - historical comparisons for 2007 and 2000:
US yield curve spread:
US marketBuffet Indicator - Wilshire 5000 to GDP:
Number of Hours of Labor needed to buy the S&P:
Stock market seasonality as for 2019-10-18:
80% IPO-s are now on negative earnings. The historical context on the chart "Percent of IPO-s on negative earnings":
Companies with the highest long term debt in US. Debt-to-equity ratio and size of the debt shown:
Fed assets vs Federal Funds Rate:
Corporations no longer share the wealth:
Global marketsSize of the global retirement savings gap, by 8 biggest countries:
Markets technicals - variety of charts
Global trends, economy, markets, world stocks, people, culture, religionGenerational wealth gap in US:
The World's Most Fragile States:
Stock market peaks by country:
Global debt by type:
Emerging markets growth:
2017 Net contributors to EU budget. Germany +12 B euros, while Poland -8 B euros:
People, culture, religion, health - trends, maps etc.Predicted change in population in one generation's time:
STD (sexually transmitted disease) cases in US chart:
World religions detailed map by country:
Historical dataLong Term interest rates back to 1790 and US+UK interest rates from 1350 to 2020:
Historical S&P return inflation adjusted - Updated 20190516
Note: The green lines denote the number of years required to get back to even following a bear market.
It is worth noting the entirety of the markets return over the last 118-years occurred in only 4-periods: 1925-1929, 1959-1968, 1990-2000, and 2016-present)